Bogle’s Expectations for Stocks and Bonds
Be Sensible About Rebalancing
Indexing Always Pays Off
Jack was recently interviewed by TK Kerstetter for the web series This Week in the Boardroom.
Jack recently appeard on Chuck Jaffe’s radio show MoneyLife for “The Big Interview.”
To Vanguard Veterans and Principals
I’m sending along some of the press clippings that you may have missed during the dog days of summer, now rapidly coming to a close:
M/1. Bogle Weighs In On Key Issues. Morningstar’s summary of my extensive interview at the 25th Annual Morningstar Investment Conference. Responding to tough questions, I gave blunt—but, I hope, tactful—answers.
F/1. Enrich Your 401(k) In One Simple Move Using The Bogle Gospel. A nice article from FORBES on August 30. Little you’ll see there will surprise you, except that my correcting (sort of) the math of a Nobel Laureate may be a first.
FT 1/2/3. Vanguard’s Bogle Responds To ‘Parasite’ Tag. The first of five articles published by the Financial Times during the late summer, my somewhat sharp response to a London money manager’s opinion piece alleging that index funds are Passive Parasites . . . A commentary on this debate—An Elegantly Simple Formula Shows Why Passive Investing Will Earn Higher Returns Than Active Investing—is attached as well.
FT 4/5. Hidden Fund Costs Are Hurting Investors. Separately, the Financial Times relied on research that I recently completed for the Financial Analysts Journal. Included is an interesting ETF story whose headline—Performance will Replace Price as Weapon of Choice —may well be correct.
FA/1. Bogle Pressures SEC On Fund Firm Fiduciary Rule. A rare story from Fund Action on the work that I’ve been doing to persuade the SEC to deal with the (almost) industry-wide conflict between the interests of fund managers and the interests of fund shareowners.
HK/1. From Hong Kong, The Ten ___iest People On Wall Street. It may well be that Maria Bartiromo deserves to be ranked #1, but it’s a tad idiotic for me to be #6, especially compared to Tim Geithner (#7) and Jamie Dimon (#8), both of whom are three decades younger than I. (To avoid the possibility of violating company policy, I will not provide translation.)
These are interesting times. Be sure to enjoy them.
Jack Bogle’s letter to the editor of The Wall Street Journal regarding a recent opinion piece about hedge funds was published in the June 6, 2013 edition.
I fear that The Wall Street Journal’s opinion piece by hedge-fund specialist Bob Rice (“The Hedge-Fund Investment Puzzle,” June 1) conceals more than it reveals.
Yes, as he writes, “it is plain common sense” to seek “downside protection, strategies that tend to zig when markets zag, and broader opportunities for profit.” But while the idea of market timing is indeed simple, many hedge fund managers have tried, but precious few have succeeded.
Citing Benjamin Graham as the first “hedged fund” operator is an especially unfortunate example. “The trick,” Mr. Rice writes, was Graham’s “clever way to make money . . . whether it [the market] continued to rise, or started to fall.”
How did the hedged strategy work out in the bull market of the Roaring Twenties and thereafter? Thanks to Joe Carlen’s recent book, “The Einstein of Money,” we know the answer. Mr. Carlen carefully documents the returns earned in the “Benjamin Graham Joint Account” (the predecessor to Graham-Newman Corporation).
From 1929 through 1932 inclusive, the Graham account turned in a loss of 70%, compared to a loss of 64% for the S&P 500 Index. (Dividends are included in both cases.) “The strategy unraveled quickly,” Mr. Carlen writes. “There was no longer any reliable advantage to be gained from that kind of hedging.”
Despite Mr. Rice’s high confidence in hedge funds (based on unspecified data), forewarned is forearmed!
John C. Bogle
Valley Forge, Pa.
Mr. Bogle is the founder of the Vanguard Group.